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RBA

Today

The AFR’s top forecasters for 2025 – Katrina Ell, Andrew Ticehurst and Michael Fuchila.

Worried about rising rates? Top forecasters say RBA may well be done

After the year kicked off with a rise in Australia, top experts have shared their views on where to next for one of the world’s most hawkish central banks.

In order to avoid an electoral iceberg, Angus Taylor and the Liberal Party need policies that appeal to younger voters.

Angus Taylor’s big task

Readers’ letters on the Liberals’ new leadership, the Gaza war, the economic state of Victoria, younger voters and the sale of defence sites across Australia.

Yesterday

Coles set to face the music over ‘misleading’ discounts

There is plenty at stake for the supermarket giant and the competition regulator as a dispute over hundreds of allegedly fake promotions finally has its day.

Investors have so far shrugged off the US government shutdown and pushed Wall Street to record highs.

ASX eyes record high as 80 companies prepare to report

The Australian sharemarket is set to open higher ahead of a busy earnings week. JB Hi-Fi, BlueScope, Treasury Wines Estates and Stockland will report on Monday.

This Month

The Chanticleer podcast features James Thomson and Anthony Macdonald.

Bank supremacy battle, blue chip CEOs exiting and wild ASX moves

James and Anthony discuss this week’s market turmoil, how Macquarie is tearing banking apart and what’s behind a spate of chief executive departures.

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Rob Hogg from SG Hiscock, Scott Halem from LGT,  Andrew McAuley from UBS and Jason Todd from Ten Caps.

From Goldilocks to too hot, markets face an almighty inflation test

Fund managers are starting to rethink a playbook that pushed equities to record highs as Australia emerges as a possible bellwether for the rest of the world.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers will release his fifth budget in May amid renewed scrutiny on the record level of government spending outside the pandemic.

‘About time’: Calls for Labor government spending review

Australia has scrutinised the tax system five times in the past 40 years but conducted only two comprehensive spending reviews – the last more than a decade ago.

The RBA’s latest downgrade of growth forecasts could pose a further threat to the already deteriorating health of the government’s budget.

RBA board appointee argued for higher interest rates

Bruce Preston, one of the nation’s top academic monetary policy economists, has been added by Jim Chalmers to the central bank’s cash rate-setting panel.

RBA debuty governor Andrew Hauser at an event last year. Hauser struck a hawkish tone on inflation on Wednesay, fuelling speculation that the RBA will raise the cash rate again this year.

$A to hit the ‘mid-70s’ in US cents as RBA raises interest rates

The sudden surge has pushed the Australian dollar above US71¢ and that is tipped to carry on for the next few months, but the rally could rapidly unwind.

RBA concedes low unemployment fuelled inflation

High labour costs are contributing to inflation pressures that forced the RBA to U-turn and raise interest rates for the first time in two years last week.

The ASX has been rocked by volatility, driven by the sheer volume of money sloshing around the market.

Get ready for wild markets as earnings season kicks off with a bang

AMP and Temple & Webster are the latest stocks to be slammed by the market. Veteran fund managers warn the volatility is going to get even more extreme.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers said Hughes would do an “outstanding job” when he announced her appointment in 2022.

Treasury contradicts Chalmers on spending blowout

A senior treasury official has contradicted a claim from Jim Chalmers about the contribution of government spending to a $54 billion blowout in the budget.

Anthony Mellowes says Region’s hedging will help withstand any further rate rises.

Mall owner beats rate rises with debt moves

Region Group boss Anthony Mellowes says managing the risk of rising debt costs has become key to the mall owner’s profit.

Economists say that the Australian economy has undergone a structural shift where governments are playing more central role.

The $135b ‘government boom’ reshaping the economy

Australia traded iron ore pits for the public purse, swapping the mining boom of the 2000s with a $135 billion public demand surge that’s reshaping our economy.

Treasurer Dr Jim Chalmers during question time at Parliament House.

Chalmers’ inflation claims questioned over excluded spending figures

Federal government spending has injected more than $70 billion extra into the economy over the past two years, exacerbating the budget deficit.

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The Reserve Bank of Australia.

RBA issues dire warning on economic growth

The bleakest-ever outlook for economic activity will eat into Australians’ living standards through higher inflation and increase scrutiny on the federal government’s deteriorating budget.

Warsh had to sound dovish to remain in the race for Fed chairmanship: is there any Trump appointee who is not a sycophant?

Will the real Kevin Warsh stand up to Donald Trump?

If the nominee for chairman of the Federal Reserve values his place in history, he must confound his sceptics and not bow to the US President on interest rates.

Qantas loyalty boss Andrew Glance says the airline has turned the corner.

Why Qantas’ loyalty boss’s son tore into him

Qantas will allow its frequent flyers to book premium economy seats on Emirates as part of a strategy to hit $1 billion in loyalty revenue by 2030.

Stablecoins present a threat to bank deposits, according to Jarden.

Top banks trial stablecoin loan deals, but a bigger threat is looming

NAB and Westpac were among the banks taking part in recent stablecoin capital markets transactions, under a program backed by the RBA.

RBA boss Michele Bullock said that she didn’t want to tell Jim Chalmers how to run fiscal policy, but economists said she could have gone further in explaining the role of public demand in the economy.

Data and dollar show the RBA raised rates too soon

If the currency’s appreciation sticks, it will reduce inflation by early 2027 by a bit over one percentage point relative to where it would have been otherwise.