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The AFR’s top forecasters for 2025 – Katrina Ell, Andrew Ticehurst and Michael Fuchila.

Worried about rising rates? Top forecasters say RBA may well be done

After the year kicked off with a rise in Australia, top experts have shared their views on where to next for one of the world’s most hawkish central banks.

Australian shares are poised to start the day higher.

ASX trims gains; Rio Tinto, Fortescue drop 4pc, JB Hi-Fi gains

Miners and banks offset tech; JB Hi-Fi rallies on higher sales; BlueScope doubles dividend; Austal rebounds; Qube-Macquarie seal takeover; A2 Milk beats forecasts. Follow live.

China’s falling birthrate fails to dent a2 Milk turnaround plans

David Bortolussi said the New Zealand-headquartered infant formula and dairy business would hit its $1.7 billion sales target a year earlier than expected.

US inflation eases, traders lift odds of third rate cut

The American consumer price index rose 0.2 per cent in January, the smallest gain since July and restrained by lower energy costs.

ASX eyes record high as 80 companies prepare to report

The Australian sharemarket is set to open higher ahead of a busy earnings week. JB Hi-Fi, BlueScope, Treasury Wines Estates and Stockland will report on Monday.

Opinion & Analysis

These numbers say your favourite fundie’s probably hurting

As the ASX 200 eyes another record high, investors shouldn’t fail to notice how much volatility lies just beneath the surface.

Chanticleer

Columnist

Chanticleer

High-frequency hijack has ASX trading like a casino

The Australian sharemarket is witnessing a breakdown in “normal” trading behaviour and stocks are jumping around far more than usual. Who is it good for?

Chanticleer

Columnist

Chanticleer

Surging demand has helped Australia’s bond market finally come of age

A jump in issuance is great news for Australian investors and the federal government. But it has not always been this way.

Tim Hext

Contributor

The market’s biggest tech bear is finally growling

GQG Partners’ Rajiv Jain has endured a rough year betting against tech. Now he’s enjoying a moment of vindication and reveals what he’s buying and avoiding.

Senior reporter

Jonathan Shapiro
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Meet the Fundie

Suhail Shaikh, CIO Fulcrum Asset Management.

Inside the $12b fund using AI to trade the Federal Reserve

Suhail Shaikh has lived through a feast and famine at the $12 billion global macro shop and has learnt to lean into winning trades and ditch the bearish bent.

Dermot Ryan has quadrupled his money on Elevra Lithium.

This fund manager is calling time on his gold and silver winners

After making a lot of money from the precious metals, Dermot Ryan at Renaissance is reluctant to chase the rally much further and starting to invest elsewhere.

Lowell Resources fund manager John Forwood.

This fundie struck gold last year. Now he’s after the next 10-bagger

Lowell Resources Funds’ John Forwood won big on commodities in 2025. Now he’s got an eye on rare earths hopefuls as he tries to replicate those outsize gains.

More From Today

The ASX and Wall Street might be at or near record levels, but there’s drama beneath the surface.

These numbers say your favourite fundie’s probably hurting

As the ASX 200 eyes another record high, investors shouldn’t fail to notice how much volatility lies just beneath the surface.

Suhail Shaikh, CIO Fulcrum Asset Management.

Inside the $12b fund using AI to trade the Federal Reserve

Suhail Shaikh has lived through a feast and famine at the $12 billion global macro shop and has learnt to lean into winning trades and ditch the bearish bent.

Yesterday

It’s one thing for the computers to take over Australian equities, it is another for them to dictate company strategies.

High-frequency hijack has ASX trading like a casino

The Australian sharemarket is witnessing a breakdown in “normal” trading behaviour and stocks are jumping around far more than usual. Who is it good for?

Australian bond market is finally caught up with the rest of the country’s financial markets.

Surging demand has helped Australia’s bond market finally come of age

A jump in issuance is great news for Australian investors and the federal government. But it has not always been this way.

Rajiv Jain, chairman and chief investment officer of GQG Partners.

The market’s biggest tech bear is finally growling

GQG Partners’ Rajiv Jain has endured a rough year betting against tech. Now he’s enjoying a moment of vindication and reveals what he’s buying and avoiding.

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This Month

All three major US equity benchmarks were poised to end the week on a positive note.

S&P 500 reverses early rally as early CPI optimism fades

US equity investors opted to sell into a morning rally with Apple and Nvidia pacing the magnificent seven lower. ASX futures point to a positive Monday start.

Local shares are set to drop at the open.

ASX falls 1.4pc on AI jitters; Cochlear, Austal dive, AMP rallies

Despite Friday’s drop, the ASX 200 posts a weekly gain; Cochlear misses expectations; Webjet ends takeover talks; Austal smashed on guidance blunder; gold rebounds. Follow live

Investors are struggling to figure out what comes next in the AI revolution.

AI panic is going viral. No one’s standing in the mob’s way

WiseTech Global has become the ASX poster child for AI disruption fears. The selling is indiscriminate, but few investors seem prepared to fight the frightened mob.

Rob Hogg from SG Hiscock, Scott Halem from LGT,  Andrew McAuley from UBS and Jason Todd from Ten Caps.

From Goldilocks to too hot, markets face an almighty inflation test

Fund managers are starting to rethink a playbook that pushed equities to record highs as Australia emerges as a possible bellwether for the rest of the world.

10 (more) CEOs under the pump in 2026

Three big-name chief executive exits in three days is a reminder that investor patience is running thin. Here are others facing shareholder pressure this year.

RBA debuty governor Andrew Hauser at an event last year. Hauser struck a hawkish tone on inflation on Wednesay, fuelling speculation that the RBA will raise the cash rate again this year.

$A to hit the ‘mid-70s’ in US cents as RBA raises interest rates

The sudden surge has pushed the Australian dollar above US71¢ and that is tipped to carry on for the next few months, but the rally could rapidly unwind.

Aoris Investment Management’s Stephen Arnold.

Australia’s once mighty growth funds watch returns disappear

Top investors including Hyperion, GCQ and Aoris are nursing heavy losses as the violent sell-off in software stocks erode years of market-leading performance.

The Australian dollar surged through the US71¢ mark.

ASX ends up; ANZ’s best day in six years, AMP, tech sink

ASX gains on banks as ANZ hits record; AMP tumbles after profit fall; renewed AI fears sink software stocks; CSL drops on broker cuts; Temple & Webster, Pro Medicus miss forecasts. Follow live.

Indonesia is the world’s largest producer of nickel, which is used

ASX’s nickel stocks get sugar hit from Indonesia’s output curb

Nickel prices have jumped after the world’s largest mine was instructed to ease production and avoid oversupply, lifting ASX-listed resources stocks.

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Local shares are set to open higher, though two C-suite exits could dent early trading.

ASX rises 1.7pc, nears record; CBA’s best day since 2020

Bourse within 100 points of all-time high; James Hardie quarterly beat; $A hits three-year high; CBA betters expectations; CSL dives on miss, CEO exit; Aussie Broadband rockets on AGL telco buy. Follow live.

The ASX has been rocked by volatility, driven by the sheer volume of money sloshing around the market.

Get ready for wild markets as earnings season kicks off with a bang

AMP and Temple & Webster are the latest stocks to be slammed by the market. Veteran fund managers warn the volatility is going to get even more extreme.

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ASX hits record, ANZ soars, AMP sinks; Taylor declares leadership run; US debt timebomb

Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.

Iroinically, Donald Trump’s tariffs have helped calm markets.

America’s debt time bomb just got bigger. Here’s the near-term trigger

US national debt will surge over the next decade, but the picture would be worse if it weren’t for Donald Trump’s tariffs. And that’s why a new flashpoint looms.

Federal Reserve officials are tipped to resist intense pressure from the White House to slash borrowing costs.

US rates seen on ‘a long pause’ after January jobs data

The probability of a quarter point rate cut in June fell after the US economy added far more new jobs than expected last month, easing pressure on policymakers.